Livestock Economics

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Livestock Economics

BUDGETS: cow calf, backgrounding, summer grazing

LMIC: Analysis and Comments, In the Cattle Market, Livestock Monitor

MARKET REPORTS: area market reports

PRESENTATIONS: meeting presentations

LEASE PUBLICATIONS - farm and ranch

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weekly chart

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

After several years of calf prices being above the previous year and setting new record highs, the price cycle is changing from the increasing to the decreasing phase. Calf prices will likely decline seasonally through fall due to several fundamental factors. Fed cattle prices will be lower due to record high pork and chicken production and smaller beef exports. The decline in feed prices that occurred over the last couple of years and supported calf prices is likely over. And even with more beef heifers held for breeding purposes, there will be a modest increase in the feeder cattle supply due to beef cow expansion and the larger 2015 calf crop. For planning purposes, expect calves of the same weight and marketed at the same time and place as last year to average 5 to 10 percent lower in price. Prices will still be the second highest ever. the potential size of the corn crop and resulting prices are a wild card that will cause calf and  feeder price volatility.

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