16th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW)

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Program

The 2018 Conference theme is "Impact-based Decision Support Tools and Applications for Climate Services"

2018 Conference Agenda - (PDF)

Tuesday, May 22

Session 1: Frequencies and Extremes of Impactful Events

Hazardous Convective Environments in the North American Regional Reanalysis - Aaron Kennedy, University of North Dakota

Communicating Probabilities for the Better Understanding of Flood Risk - Ryan Knutsvig, NOAA/NWS WFO Grand Forks

Drought Identification in Cold Climate Regions: How Can Macro-scale Hydrologic Models Assist Drought Analysis? - Mohammad Hadi Bazrkar, North Dakota State University

Significant Tornadoes in the Northern Plains: An Environmental and Pattern-Based Climatological Risk Assessment - Chauncy Schultz, NOAA/NWS WFO Bismarck

Northern Plains Blizzards in Past and Future Climates - Alex Trellinger, University of North Dakota

Drought, Agriculture and Fire Danger Monitoring with the NW Climate Toolbox and Climate Engine - Katherine Hegewisch, University of Idaho & NOAA RISA Climate Impacts Research Consortium

Session 2: Best Practices

Land, Sea and Homes: Connecting Climate and Communities in western Alaska - Richard Thoman, NOAA/NWS Alaska Region

Value of Decision Analysis for Climate Adaptation Planning: Which Adaptation Decisions Can Benefit Most? - Rui Shi, Johns Hopkins University

Toward Accessible, Discoverable, and Usable Crop Insurance Data: Multi-scale Analysis and Visualization of Cause of Loss - Julian Reyes, USDA Southwest Climate Hub

Providing Long Range Outlook Summaries to the Climate Community for Decision Support Services - Shawn Rossi, NOAA/NWS WFO Hastings

Developing the Delaware Weather Hazard Index - Christina Callahan, University of Delaware Center for Environmental Monitoring & Analysis (CEMA)

Session 3: Water Resources Decision Support Services

Utilizing Climate Data to Inform Municipal Planning in the Lower Missouri River Basin - Natalie Umphlett, High Plains Regional Climate Center

Use of Quarterly CPC Predictions in Northern California Water Project Operation - Maurice Roos, CA Department of Water Resources

A Foundation for Sustained Dialogue to Improve the Utility of Climate Information in Water Management - Julie Vano, NCAR

Providing Decision Support Services over the Colorado River Basin - Paul Miller, NOAA/NWS Colorado Basin River Forecast Center

Impact-based Decision Support to Reservoir Operators for Extreme Climate Events - Steve Buan, NOAA/NWS North Central River Forecast Center

Development of Prototype National Water Model Soil Moisture Products for Drought Monitoring - Mimi Hughes, NOAA/ESRL and CIRES

The Importance of Precipitation QA/QC - Holly Reckel, NOAA/NWS North Central River Forecast Center

Wednesday, May 23

Panel Keynote

“Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) Services in NWS Operations” - David DeWitt, Director, NOAA/NWS Climate Prediction Center

Session 4 Panel: S2S Research and Operational Capabilities

PRES2iP: Prediction of Rainfall Extremes at Subseasonal to Seasonal Periods - Elinor Martin, University of Oklahoma

New Watershed-based Climate Forecast Products for Hydrologists and Water Managers - Sarah Baker, CU Boulder & USBR

Who Cares About S2S Research to Improve Forecasts? - Alison Stevens, NOAA/OAR Climate Program Office

Session 5: Stakeholder Engagement

ECCC and NOAA Tackle Extreme Temperatures: The Status of an ECCC/NOAA Project to Improve the Cross-border Coordination and Collaboration of Alerts and Messaging for Extremes of Heat and Cold - Gregory Gust, NOAA/NWS WFO Grand Forks

NWS Jackson Mississippi Week Two Hazardous Weather Impact Assessments - Chad Entremont, NOAA/NWS WFO Jackson (presented by David Cox, NWS WFO Jackson)

On Downscaling Winter Season Climate Outlooks and Communicating Forecast Uncertainty to National Weather Service Core Partners Through Climate Decision Support Services - Sam Lashley, NOAA/NWS WFO Northern Indiana

Increasing the Capacity of Tribal Communities to Incorporate Climate Information into Decision Making - Crystal Stiles, High Plains Regional Climate Center Seasonal Forecast Guidance for Fire Managers in Alaska - Uma Bhatt, University of Alaska Fairbanks (presented by Richard Thoman, NOAA NWS Alaska Region)

Climate Customer Engagement and Service Delivery at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information - Mike Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS National Centers for Environmental Information

Session 6: Applications of Drought Information

Drought Early Warning for Agricultural and Hydrologic Stakeholders using the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI): Updates and Performance in the 2017 Northern Plains Drought - Mike Hobbins, NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division & University of Colorado, Boulder

Predictability of Northern Plains Drought - Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division & University of Colorado, Boulder

Defining Drought Characteristics for Natural Resource Management - Dennis Ojima, Colorado State University

Views of the 2016 Northern Plains Flash Drought: Farmer Perspectives and Remote Sensing Data - Anthony Mucia, National Drought Mitigation Center

Did Climate Change Increase the Intensity and Likelihood of the 2017 U.S. Northern Plains Drought? - Imtiaz Rangwala, NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division & University of Colorado, Boulder

Session 7: Agriculture Decision Support Services

Opportunities and Challenges of Climate Change in the Northern Plains - Adnan Akyuz, North Dakota State University

Projected Changes in the Frequency of Major Tree Fruit Diseases in the Great Lakes Region - William Baule, Michigan State University

Apple Orchard Impact Decisional Support - Jeffrey Boyne, NOAA/NWS WFO Lacrosse

Climate and Agriculture Scenario Planning -Tyler Williams, University of Nebraska (presented by Laura Edwards, South Dakota State University)

Grassland Productivity Forecast system (GrassCast) - William Parton, Colorado State University

Thursday May, 24

Session 8: National and International Climate Decision Support Services

Improvements to the Canadian Drought Monitor to Better Communicate Drought Conditions in Canada - Trevor Hadwen, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Improved Adaptation-decisions and Resilience by Using Impact-based Climate Services in Coastal Bangladesh: What needs to be done to make the process locally-relevant and user-inspired? - Saleh Ahmed, University of Arizona

Impacts of ENSO and Changing Climate on Water Resources: U.S-Affiliated Pacific Islands - Md Chowdhury, Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center, JIMAR, University of Hawaii at Manoa

Dialogue with Agricultural Sector to Promote Use of Climate Prediction of JMA - Nobuyuki Kayaba, Japan Meteorological Agency

Using a Novel Method to Map Flood Susceptibility of the Lower Connecticut River Region - Jason Giovannettone, Dewberry

Session 9 Panel: Heat-Health Decision Support Services

Heat-Health Vulnerability in North Carolina and the Development of a Web-Based Tool to Predict Heat-Related Emergency Department Visits - Charles (Chip) Konrad, NOAA Southeast Regional Climate Center

NOAA/NWS Western Region Experimental HeatRisk Project - Paul Iniguez, NOAA/NWS WFO Phoenix

Development and Implementation of an Impact-Based Heat Warning and Information Service for Canada: A National and Regional Collaboration - Melissa MacDonald & Natalie Hasell, Environment and Climate Change Canada

Session 10: Decision Support Tools

Long Range Outlooks and IDSS Messaging: A Comparison of Climate Tools and Teleconnections - Ken Simosko, NOAA/NWS WFO Bismarck

GIS at the MRCC: A peek behind the curtain - Zoe Zaloudek, ISWS/Midwestern Regional Climate Center

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