As producers seek to answer a growing demand for specific crops, they will need to take a real look at what the various major crops have provided over the past years, in terms of yield, total costs and net return per acre. As all crops have a place in the area, producers will be challenged to find the right mix of crops and acres that will provide them with the maximum opportunity for increased profits while maintaining the production and marketing risks at manageable levels.
Data for this study was gathered directly from producers
enrolled in the North Dakota Farm Business Management Program. The sites where these
producers were enrolled included
The data for this study included the crops of barley, oil sunflowers, soybeans, hard red spring wheat (HRSW) and corn. These crops covered a total of 318,689 acres (Table 1) for the years 2001 through 2005. The crops included within the report were not separated for such characteristics as conventional or Roundup Ready®, by tillage practices or by similar items. Irrigated crops were not included in the report. This study summarizes the production, costs and net returns for each of the five major crops included. A detailed listing of both direct and overhead expenses is included as part of the report.
The highest 5-year average gross return, excluding direct and counter-cyclical payments, was claimed by corn at $213.66 per acre. The average price for corn sold was calculated to be $2.02 per bushel. The crop with the smallest annual average gross return was HRSW which averaged $151.40 per acre and had a 5-year average price received of $3.54 per bushel. The gross return per acre included the value of the raised crop plus any additional insurance or miscellaneous income.
In the area of direct expenses corn was again the leader with a total of $167.34 in direct costs. Barley, including both feed and malting types, had the lowest direct costs at $104.66 per acre. Total overhead costs per acre were quite similar for four of the crops with a range of $24.45 to $28.93 per acre. With increased storage and machinery costs, additional chattel interest and higher labor costs, corn accounted for the highest overhead costs of the five crops at $36.87 per acre. With all costs considered, barley had the lowest average total costs at $131.99 per acre while corn was the highest with a 5-year average of $204.21 in total costs per acre. Of the five crops, the annual average total costs for corn varied the most, from a low of $188.12 in 2003 to a high of $241.26 in 2005.
To provide for a per acre profit number that also included the direct and counter-cyclical payments, the amount of $11.00 per acre was added to the net return per acre for each crop. This decoupled payment amount was based on the 5-year regional reports and was equalized across all of the five crops. With the $11.00 payment included, the highest calculated net return was for barley at $52.17 per acre. This was followed by oil sunflowers at $43.82 per acre, soybeans at $41.29 per acre, HRSW at $26.23 per acre and corn at $20.45 per acre.
Producers are encouraged to consider both the potential income and the level of production risk when selecting crops based on the 5-year averages as shown. In addition, producers are encouraged to look at the return over direct costs, or as it is also known, return to overhead for each crop that they are considering. By comparing the return over direct costs for each crop, producers can get a better look at what amount of income remains to handle the overhead costs for each crop. While overhead costs do vary, the return to overhead is a good method of judging the potential profitability of selectable crops.
While there is no exact method of forecasting the weather or possible weather related production problems, producers may be able to take advantage of multi-year pricing opportunities for crops such as corn. By taking advantage of this type of marketing opportunity through the use of cash forward contracts, futures, options and combinations of these tools, producers can greatly reduce the pricing risk for crops they may select. By reducing the pricing risk more emphasis can be placed on the production practices needed to ensure yields that annually produce the best possible net returns.
Region 3 - South Central ND Farm Business
Management Annual Reports, 2001-2005,